25 - 26 FEBRUARY 2010, NAIROBI, KENYA
Summary
March to May constitutes an important rainfall season over the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region. The regional consensus climate outlook for the March to May 2010 rainfall season indicates increased likelihood of near normal tending towards below normal rainfall over much of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA). Increased likelihood of near normal to above normal rainfall is indicated over the western parts of southern sector as well as parts of the equatorial sector and the far northeast.
The outlook is relevant only for seasonal time scales and relatively large areas. Local and month-to-month variations may occur. For example episodic flash floods can be observed even in areas that are expected to receive below normal rainfall and poor rainfall may occur locally in areas expected to receive above normal rainfall. Forecast updates will be provided by ICPAC and the respective National Meteorological and Hydrological Services. The users are therefore strongly advised to contact their National Meteorological Services for interpretation of this outlook, finer details, regular updates and additional guidance.